What prediction markets are legal in the US?
Not measured — no engine answer has been captured on this question yet. That is different from the engines answering and naming nobody.
10 of 23 names confirmed · named in 2 or more of 14 answers · 0 engines
In the U.S., federally regulated prediction markets are legal nationwide when operated by a Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC)-registered exchange like Kalshi. However, some states are challenging or restricting them, so availability can vary depending on local laws. The primary legal prediction markets operating in the U.S. include Kalshi, ForecastEx, Polymarket US, and Aristotle Exchange DCM.
- 1Kalshinamed in 14 of 14 answers
- 2Polymarketnamed in 12 of 14 answers
- 3Robinhoodnamed in 6 of 14 answers
- 4ForecastExnamed in 5 of 14 answers
- 5PredictItnamed in 5 of 14 answers
- 6Crypto.comnamed in 4 of 14 answers
- 7Robinhood Predictnamed in 3 of 14 answers
- 8DraftKings Predictionsnamed in 3 of 14 answers
- 9FanDuel Predictsnamed in 3 of 14 answers
- 10Iowa Electronic Marketnamed in 2 of 14 answers
- 11Polymarket USnamed in 1 of 14 answersone answer
- 12Aristotle Exchange DCMnamed in 1 of 14 answersone answer
- 13CME Groupnamed in 1 of 14 answersone answer
- 14Electron Exchangenamed in 1 of 14 answersone answer
- 15Railbird Exchangenamed in 1 of 14 answersone answer
- 16Xchange Alphanamed in 1 of 14 answersone answer
- 17Novignamed in 1 of 14 answersone answer
- 18ProphetXnamed in 1 of 14 answersone answer
- 19Ludlow Exchangenamed in 1 of 14 answersone answer
- 20Optex Marketsnamed in 1 of 14 answersone answer
- 21Water Street Labsnamed in 1 of 14 answersone answer
- 22Juice Exchangenamed in 1 of 14 answersone answer
- 23Interactive Brokersnamed in 1 of 14 answersone answer
The full measurement
- The position each of the 14 engines gave all 23 names.
- How many of the 14 answers named each of them.
- Where the engines disagree, and by how much.
- Fan-out — the query each engine actually searched.
- Every citation, and the sources nobody cited.